18 Feb 2008 04:38:22 | Kevin Schultz
Betting arbitrage is a method of creating a bet that has a zero
risk - in other words, you always win! The concept of
'arbitrage' comes from the financial world, and describes the
activities of traders who find two different places offering the
same trade, but at different prices. They then exploit this
difference by selling in one location and buying in the other.
Whatever happens to price, they make a profit on the difference
between the original 2 prices. The same thing applies to betting
arbitrage, typically on sporting events.
The advent of online betting sites meant that the punter could
suddenly check prices at a multitude of different locations very
quickly, and open bets at those that had 'slipped' out of line.
By exploiting the inefficiencies of some brokers, a win can
therefore be guaranteed. Sometimes, the differences are
deliberate. Each online betting site has to maintain it's own
'book', and it would be a strange world indeed if they all had
the same number of punters, all betting the same way and the
same amount, meaning they all had to offer the same odds!
So how does 100% winners, no risk sound? Groovy, huh? But there
are, of course, problems. The main problem is the size of the
account you need to make a useful profit. The difference between
the odds offered by 2 bookies, and exploited by an arbitrageur,
may only amount to a fraction of a percent, meaning that you may
have to wager several thousand dollars to win 5 bucks. Nothing
wrong with that, you think? Not if the bet is 100% guaranteed?
But what about if thru the vagaries of the internet, you manage
to get one side of the bet on at the right odds, but not the
other? You are left holding a LARGE position. Also, accounts of
this size are viewed with some suspicion by the bookies - they
will want to know that you aren't (for example) money laundering.
So ok, you know the risks, but how does it actually work? Let's
go back to the US election between Bush and that Herman Munster
guy, the Democrat fella with the long face (Kerry? Curry?). As
you recall, it was close. No one knew for sure which way it
would go. But what you could have done is put on a bet with UK
bookie Coral that Kerry would win, and the odds they would give
you would have been 6/4 (i.e. a US 1.5 - bet $800, return
$2,000).
At the same time, your fave US bookie might have given you odds
of 6/4 on Bush! That means if you took both bets, you are
betting (risking) $1,600, but will win $2,000 WHATEVER the
result! Easy money or what? Bank a cool $400 for nothing.
How often does this happen? Quite a lot. For example, in a
boxing match, the US champ will, of course be favored by the US
bookies, but the UK challenger will be top bet at the UK
bookies. Simply exploit the difference. It works even within the
US too - a Varsity football match, for example, may find the out
of state team offering you an opportunity to arbitrage within
the home team state depending on the demographics of the
customers using two US online bookies.
Generally, you can bet risk free on any sporting event with
either 2 or 3 outcomes, such as Football, Baseball, Boxing,
Basketball, Tennis, Soccer, Golf, Snooker, Cricket, Hockey, Ice
Hockey and Darts. Are the odds always as good as in the example?
No. Usually the difference will be small. That is why you need
large accounts.
Enjoy!
About Author :
Mr Schultz is a writer for www.supabets.com betting site
an archive of free tips and tricks for betting fans.