14 Mar 2008 02:22:53 | Dr. Steve Sjuggerud
Uh oh. We're in trouble...
I just hosted our annual Investment U seminar, where a few
hundred attendees came to learn to be better investors. With a
laundry list of the stars in our business, attendees picked up a
lot of great investment ideas. And that might have been the
problem...
While picking up a few good investment picks might be a nice
thing in the short run, it's not going to sustain you over the
long run.
So in my closing remarks at Investment U, I tried to make sure
attendees stayed on the right path. I turned investors'
attention back to Investment U's "Twelve Timeless Rules of
Investing." I pointed out a few that are particularly important
right now...
Timeless Rule #1: An attempt at making a buck often leads to
losing much of that buck.
"Wow, Exxon sure has soared. If only I'd bought call options on
the stock instead of just buying the stock, imagine how rich I'd
be... I'd be retired now. Or... If only I'd bought a tiny oil
exploration company instead of the big blue chip, I'd also be
retired."
It's a nice thought... but it just doesn't work in practice. As
natural resources expert Rick Rule (http://www.gril.net) said:
"Your risk is infinitely higher with a company looking for oil
than a company that's already got it."
Everyone wants the big score. But chasing it is like playing the
lottery - for a lucky few, it works. For everyone else, those
lottery tickets expire worthless.
Timeless Rule #3: Cut your losers, let your winners ride.
This was a big theme of the conference. Most individual
investors invest with a strategy that's doomed from the start.
They invest in a limited upside, unlimited downside way. If a
stock goes up 20%, they'll take a profit. If it goes down,
they'll hold it. This leaves them with a portfolio of losers.
We recommend investing in an unlimited upside, limited downside
way. If you use something like a 25% trailing stop, then your
losers get sold, and you end up with a portfolio of winners.
Timeless Rule #7: Bear markets begin in good times. Bull markets
begin in bad times.
I don't know about you, but times are good where I live. "You
can't go wrong in real estate" is the common sentiment. Everyone
is into it. And it's the same with the stock market. The Dow
Jones average is like 10% away from its all time highs. Chances
are, now's not the time to be buying stocks or real estate (on
the coast of Florida, at least!).
Timeless Rule #10: Investing in what's popular never ends up
making you any money. Buy an investment when it has few friends.
It makes sense. If you're doing what the average guy at a
cocktail party is doing, you're doomed to average returns... at
best.
In order to buy something cheap, you've got to buy when nobody
wants it. So you can't be buying what everybody else at the
cocktail parties are buying.
There's always something that everyone hates. I've been
recommending gold coins and some stocks in Argentina and Israel
recently. Now, those are conversation stoppers at the cocktail
parties! And that's just what I want to buy...
If a few of your neighbors are bragging about how much money
they made in "X," then chances are, it's time to avoid "X."
I picked these Timeless Rules out of our list of 12 because I
felt they were the most pertinent rules for the attendees at our
conference now. And if these reminders were good enough for
attendees, they're probably good reminders for you, too.
Good investing,
Steve
About Author :
Investment U President and New York Times best-selling author
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud received his PhD in International Finance
and was formerly the VP of a $50 million global mutual fund, an
analyst, broker, and offshore hedge fund manager. Today he
shares with over 300,000 readers his investment advice in the www.investmentu.com web
site and IU Newsletter.