09 Mar 2008 02:23:06 | Judi Singleton
Because we lack understanding about intuition we often do not
trust it as a decision making too. The phenomena we call
"common-sense" "sixth-sense", "inspiration", "gut-feeling",may
all be the same thing. Likewise, what we call "intuition" may
actually be more than one phenomena. Each instance of
"intuition" could involve any of a number of thought processes,
some reliable and others not. At the same time, it seems likely
that at least one of the procedures we classify as "intuition"
would be a subconscious application of predictive deduction.
Perhaps what we call intuition is in fact experience, others
experiences, like what we have read in a book, mass
consciousness, like what anyone has ever thought about this.
Jung called this the collective unconscious. Here is a creative
exercise to access your intuition: Alternative Scenarios
Scenarios are developed specifically for a particular problem.
To begin developing scenarios:
State the specific decision that needs to be made. Identify the
major environmental forces that impact on the decision. For
example, suppose you need to decide how to deversify your funds
in order to be positioned for opportunities that might emerge by
the year 2010. The major environmental forces might include
social values, economic growth world-wide and international
trade access (tariffs etc.). Build four scenarios based on the
principal forces. To do this, use information available to you
to identify four plausible and qualitatively different
possibilities for each force. Assemble the alternatives for each
force into internally consistent 'stories', with both a
narrative and a table of forces and scenarios. Build your
scenarios around these forces. For instance health care is
getting so high priced that people are going to start using more
alternative medicine. Scenario story lines emerged for 'As at
present', 'Heated', 'Belt Tightening' and 'Isolation'. With the
scenarios in hand, identify business opportunities within each
scenario. Examine the links and synergies of opportunities
across the range of scenarios. This would help you to formulate
a more realistic strategy for investment. Scenarios are
developed specifically for a particular problem. To begin
developing scenarios:
State the specific decision that needs to be made. Identify the
major environmental forces that impact on the decision. For
example, suppose you need to decide how to invest R & D funds in
order to be positioned for opportunities that might emerge by
the year 2010. The major environmental forces might include
social values, economic growth world-wide and international
trade access (tariffs etc.).
About Author :
Judi Singleton writes ten blogs a week if you like this article
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