08 Mar 2008 12:28:06 | Jason Clarke
Many fantasy owners believe that the key to having a good year
in your respective league is to hit on your first few picks in
your draft. While it’s true that you have to make those first
few picks count to have a chance to compete in a league, the
real great teams are probably built deeper in the draft, in
rounds five or later. This is the area of the draft where you
learn who has done their homework and prepared and who just
picked up a fantasy magazine on their way to the draft.
This method is almost an art form of knowing not only what
player to pick, but when to pick them. To be informed and have a
great feeling about a guy, but blowing that homework and picking
him in round 3 negates all the work and preparation. Get your
studs and stand-bys in the first several rounds, then start
picking your spots to take guys you feel, or you have been
informed about, that should have great years. Take for instance
a couple of receivers from this years crop of value players like
Andre Davis (CLE) and Terry Glenn (DAL). These players have
been, for the most part, very consistent performers in this
young season. These two receivers have been outperforming many
players taken, in most drafts, rounds ahead of them.
Put Andre Davis’ numbers next to Koren Robinson or Chris
Chamber’s statistics. You’ll see that Davis has outperformed
both of these receivers who were picked higher in most leagues
this year. Davis has the advantage on these two in yards and
draws even with Chambers in TD’s with two. In one of my leagues,
Chambers was drafted in round five and Davis in round ten. And
Koren Robinson, who Davis out performs in yards and TD’s, he was
taken in the fourth round. How’s that for value in a tenth round
pick??
You can also take Terry Glenn’s 04’ stats and put them up
against some other receivers who may have been overvalued in
this years draft, like Marty Booker or Jerry Porter. Glenn has
more receiving yards and touchdowns than both of these higher
picked receivers, but probably only cost his owner no higher
than a 9th or 10th round pick. How would you like to have Terry
Glenn’s statistics in your third receiver spot this year?
There are two morals to this story. Moral one is always to be
prepared for your draft. Keep up on offseason news such as
injuries, free agency moves, NFL draft acquisitions and coaching
changes. These little tidbits of information all add up when it
comes to fantasy draft time. Take all those bits of info and try
to piece them together the best you can to come to some
conclusions about some players. Just because Joe Schmoe put up
good or bad numbers the year before doesn’t mean they are going
to do the same this year. Did a new QB come to town via free
agency? Or did the teams Joe Schmoe plays for draft a big stud
LT in the draft?
Moral two is to pick your spots wisely. Don’t jump on players
you are high on too early in your draft. If you jump on these
guys early and they don’t pan out like you think they will, your
team is going to be in a world of hurt because the back end of
your roster is going to be much weaker than it should be. So
make like a good possession receiver in the early rounds of your
draft and make nice, safe, sound picks. As the rounds move on
though, start taking your shots deep and see if you can come up
big, with some not so big name players.
About Author :
Jason is the editor and webmaster for Huddlegeeks.com, a
respected fantasy football analsis website.